Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Change in the climate

The CRU has admitted that its email was hacked, granting a face validity to the whole trove.

This ought to demonstrate the bias of much of the global warming expertise. Clearly this important center has gone about its work with a clear predisposition, and a decided intolerance for any dissent from its conclusions. But the larger blogal warming community is also implicated. They have relied on this center's work, despite the obvous and outward signs of that bias, and so demonstrated their own preference for a particular conclusion to an actual understanding of the situation.

The bias of this community shouldn't be news: the temperament and predisposition of much of the global warming science has been on display for years. These researchers refuse to share their data, they will not entertain obvious questions or qualifications, and they endorse transparently selective presentations like "Earth In The Balance." Ask a real scientist for a definitive conclusion from an experiment and you'll get a maddeningly caveated statement of the theories consistent with its results, followed by an exhaustive discussion of the next question to be nailed down. Ask a global warming researcher the implications of a polar ice core sample and you'll get a conclusive statement of the evils of coal-fueled generation. The difference in tone and rhetorical strength ought to be obvious.

The question ought to be, why has our discourse allowed these figures so much authority? I suggest that many of their sympathizers were suspicious of consumption, and industrial production, and business, long before "global warming" became an issue. Regulation of business and constraint on consumption have long been desired by progressives so as to redisribute wealth and reduce the political power of capital and business. The solutions to global warming are nicely consistent with this agenda, and so the issue became one more argument for progressive policies. The inability of most citizens to analyze the scientific claims forestalled a proper discussion, and the willingness of most citizens to take experts and politicians at their word left the debate in the hands of those willing to speak with the greatest urgency.

Now we're beginning to see that these claims don't pass truly scientific scrutiny. The whole effort has eroded the credibility of a corner of the scientific world, and the political establishment that accepted its claims so uncritically.

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