Did McCain blow up the deal? Are the Candidates helpful? Did the House Republicans pull a fast one? Are the Adminstration and Congressional Democrats trying to steamroll this thing?
It doesn't matter. It isn't answerable. We don't have enough inside information to tell, what information we do have is offered by folks with a stake in the argument, and any analysis will be skewed to the prejudices of the analyst.
What matters is the quality of the deal that emerges. The politics will shake out after that, when people start to pay attention again. Could a player influence that assessment with clever positioning and arguments? Maybe, but they'd have to read some mighty tricky currents to find themselves in the right place. It's just an incredibly volatile situation. Attention to positioning could reap huge returns, but it could fail because of events beyond anyone's control or forecast. And in any case it loses everything if it's read as positioning. I know politicians are incredibly good at this stuff, but I would think the best bet would be to just forget all that and sort things out on the other side.
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